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Two weeks ago I started a series on an approach to evaluating
private transactions. In the first part I set forth the idea that there are three pillars to
effectively evaluating a transaction - capital structure, ownership and company. The
evaluation of these three pillars helps frame two of the cornerstones of your transaction -
the size of the commitment and the required return.
In this second part of the series we'll look at the first of the three pillars -
capital structure. Capital structure refers to how a business finances its operations and growth.
At its simplest level capital structure consists of debt and equity.
The components of capital structure that I'll discuss below are: Leverage;
Loan-to-Value; Liquidity; Inter-Creditor Relationships; and Bankruptcy Considerations.
Leverage - Leverage in this context refers to debt to cash flow, with cash
typically defined as EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization). If
you are evaluating a business that has significant capital expenditures, ("Capx"), you will want to
consider using free cash flow ("FCF") in your leverage calculation. FCF is simply EBITDA less
normalized Capx. If you find that the company's depreciation is a good proxy for Capx, then you can
use EBIT or EBITA.
A company's Leverage is the back-of-the-envelope metric, or shorthand, used by
corporate finance professionals to measure the debt load of a company. Additionally, it is a metric
that speaks to the general mood of lenders; i.e. higher average leverage ratios mean that lenders
are aggressively pursuing lending opportunities while lower average multiples reflect cautiousness
on the part of lenders.
Leverage in a transaction will need to be assessed for both senior debt as well as
any junior debt (also referred to as mezzanine or subordinated debt). The leverage multiple is
expressed as a cumulative number, so that if senior debt is "3.0x cash flow" and there is half
again as much debt from a junior facility, the total leverage would be expressed as 4.5x cash
flow.
For example, if a company had $2.0 million of cash flow, $5.0 million of senior
bank debt and $1.0 million of junior debt (which can either be "institutional" sub-debt or seller
debt). The leverage ratios would be 2.5x senior and 3.0x total debt.
The "right" amount of leverage is more art than science. It needs to be weighed
against credit statistics such as interest coverage and fixed charge coverage, the company's
business model, and the loan-to-value, or LTV.
Loan-to-Value - The leverage ratio cannot be thought about in a vacuum; it needs to
be considered against the enterprise value of the business. When I was a lender I would regularly
receive queries about what multiple I would lend. The only valid response would be "what's the
business" and "what's the deal". There were times someone would be looking for 3x senior financing
on a business they were acquiring for 3x or 3.5x cash flow. So from a purely multiple standpoint,
3x cash flow sounded reasonable, but when considered in the context of LTV, the request clearly
consisted of some measure of equity risk.
The LTV analysis is easier when considering an acquisition transaction - where
there is a money vote on the valuation. And even here, I'd submit that you'll want to validate the
valuation by running your own return calculations and looking at comps (to the extent available).
In the case of a refinance or recap, it's a combination of judgment, experience, available comps
and some math. All you're looking for is some reasonable range on the enterprise value to put the
transaction into proper context.
Liquidity - Liquidity refers to the short-term capital a business requires to
finance its daily operations. A company's liquidity is generated from 1) profitability; 2) working
capital; and 3) lines of credit. Reviewing a company's statement of cash flows is a great place to
start when assessing cash flow and liquidity. If you're not familiar with how to think about the
statement of cash flows (and, you're not alone), think of it as what ties the income statement and
balance sheet together.
Working capital analysis involves looking at the business's cash cycle and whether
cash is being generated or consumed by the company's working capital. One of the simplest fixes
I've seen from buyout professionals has been fixing a company's working capital. In more instances
than I can recount, significant buyout debt had been repaid from cash generated from better working
capital management.
Finally, with respect to any line of credit, make sure that it is sufficient to
meet cash flow demands. Look at advance rates as well as excess availability.
Inter-creditor relationships - Inter-creditor relationships refers to the
agreement(s) between different classes of debt holders. The most common would be the inter-creditor
agreement between a senior lender and a subordinated lender. These agreements spell out the rights
and remedies of each class of lender and typically only comes into play when there is a default or
an event of default. The inter-creditor agreement will spell out what kind of blockage rights one
class of lender will have over another. And while this topic may be of more interest to the
providers of debt capital to a business, it is also important to understand for the business owner
or transaction sponsor.
Bankruptcy Considerations - Bankruptcy considerations address the question of what
happens in the event the company files for bankruptcy protection. From the perspective of a junior
lender - which can either be a third party lender or a seller note - the junior lender will want to
be secured. In the event of a bankruptcy, if the junior lender is unsecured, he will fall into the
same class as all other unsecured claims. If however the junior lender is secured, he will have a
priority claim over the unsecured debtors to any proceeds from a liquidation. The other implication
here is that the topic above - Inter-creditor Relationship - comes into play. If the junior lender
has a second lien on the company's assets, the senior lender will want to make sure that they can
control the security so that they protect their priority claims on the secured assets.
This covers the first pillar for effectively evaluating a transaction. While each of the areas
discussed can be taken deeper, the purpose here is to give you a framework with which to think
about a transaction. The next article in this series will address the second pillar of evaluating a
transaction - Ownership. |